With primaries for both parties coming up soon, a clearer picture beginning to emerge of who will come out on top. While thinned down from twenty, the democratic candidates still have some figuring out to do. As for the Republicans, the real question is, will any actually pose a threat to Trump’s reelection campaign?
Currently 10 candidates have qualified for the third debate, and possibly one or two more. However, as far as polling is concerned, currently Joe Biden is in the lead at 31%. Not far behind is Bernie Sanders at 24%, followed by Elizabeth Warren at 15% and Kamala Harris at 10%. As far as the rest of the field, none of them are polling above 4%, so now is the time for them to try to really differentiate themselves and hopefully gain support along the way.
It will be interesting to see if any of the lower-polling candidates will make a run. Currently on a huge uptick has been Andrew Yang who has been campaigning not just at rallies but all mediums that will have him on.
A candidate on the outside lookin, but who has strong support is Tulsi Gabbard, however, it is uncertain if she will be able to qualify. She has met the donor requirement, but not the polling requirement.
However, she is currently struggling with the DNC to revise its list of qualifying polls, candidates must poll above 2% in 4 DNC qualified polls. She has actually polled above 2% in 26 polls, but only two were DNC qualified.
Now the real question, will Joe Walsh or Bill Weld be able to make any type of run at the nomination? Likely no, with the GOP already behind Trump’s reelection campaign makes it even more difficult for them to really get out there, however, Trump’s GOP support has been dipping and showing cracks amongst the party.
Another reason they may find it difficult is that some states are guarding against a new candidate. South Carolina’s Republican Party has already said they may cancel their primary next month as well as the Republican Party of Nevada. This would guarantee Trump’s nomination by the party in that state.
